Dead Drop Intel Brief — November 3, 2025
The federal government shutdown talks have once again collapsed overnight, setting a record for gridlock in Washington. With no resolution in sight, the political impasse is beginning to ripple through critical sectors — from defense contracting to federal law enforcement operations. Contingency planning now includes furloughs for thousands of civilian employees tied to intelligence and defense agencies, a move that would degrade operational readiness across the board. The paralysis in D.C. isn’t just a budget issue anymore — it’s a national security threat.
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Meanwhile, the FBI is quietly expanding its domestic terrorism monitoring operations, standing up new “regional cells” across three field offices. These units are focused on tracking politically motivated lone-actor violence — a category that has grown dramatically in recent years. The Bureau’s latest data indicates an uptick in ideologically driven threat activity across both the far-left and far-right spectrums, though the political optics of such expansion remain controversial. For a nation struggling with trust in institutions, a broadened surveillance posture risks widening that divide.
In the private sector, a major U.S. telecom provider has detected probing and mapping activity on backbone infrastructure, traced to a foreign state actor. Analysts warn that these actions represent pre-intrusion reconnaissance — the stage before a potential large-scale cyber or hybrid attack. The Department of Homeland Security, already stretched thin, is preparing a “border surge” this week amid intelligence suggesting coordinated smuggling efforts linked to overseas unrest cycles. The concern is that adversaries could exploit a distracted or partially shutdown government to push operations across multiple domains — kinetic, cyber, and informational — simultaneously.
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Globally, tensions continue to climb. In the Middle East, a new round of drone strikes and rocket exchanges threatens to expand regional conflict zones. China, for its part, escalated military pressure around Taiwan following a recent U.S. diplomatic visit, deploying carriers and conducting joint bomber patrols meant to signal deterrence readiness. Russia mirrored this pattern with strategic bomber drills along the Arctic corridor — a thinly veiled nuclear message that complements ongoing aggression in Ukraine.
Across Europe, cyber campaigns have intensified, with coordinated attacks striking at both governmental and financial institutions. Intelligence analysts attribute the wave to state-linked operators acting in concert. One alarming figure stands out: a 42% increase in foreign-linked cyber intrusion attempts on U.S. infrastructure in the past 90 days. The trend line is steep, and it’s accelerating.
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As I said on the Mike Force Podcast this week, gray zone conflict isn’t the prelude to war anymore — it is the war. Every nation is now engaged in hybrid warfare: cyber, information, and economic pressure campaigns that blur the lines between peace and conflict. America is absorbing simultaneous hits in every domain, and while most of these operations stay below the threshold of open war, the cumulative effect is destabilizing.
When the pendulum eventually swings back, the retribution and escalation will be dramatic.
And one last note — our warning order went out for Nigeria. Reports confirm the ongoing ethnic cleansing of Christians there, with violence bleeding into neighboring countries. President Trump has stated clearly that if the Nigerian government fails to intervene, the United States will.
Stay vigilant. The fight is already here — it just doesn’t always look like one.
Godspeed,
Mike Glover
Founder
